Udayavni Special

Southwest monsoon in 2021 likely to be normal: Skymet Weather


PTI, Feb 1, 2021, 2:12 PM IST

New Delhi: After two years, the southwest monsoon in 2021 is likely to be normal, private weather forecaster Skymet Weather has said on initial outlook for the rainfall season.

The southwest monsoon was above-normal in 2019 and 2020. La Nina, which is associated with the cooling of Pacific waters, was one of the important elements influencing the Indian monsoon.

“There is sufficient cooling in the Pacific Ocean now and La Niña conditions are at peak. The Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) are likely to rise soon and the probability of continued La Niña will fall,” the Skymet Weather said.

This will reduce to about 50 per cent when the monsoon arrives, it noted.

“This could be one of the normal monsoon years making a sound start and ending within the upper half of normal range. The range of normal rainfall is 96-104 per cent of LPA (880.6 mm). Initial readings are indicative of some risk attached to few pockets,” the Skymet Weather said.

Last year, monsoon was driven by La Niña which is peaking right now. It will decline during the spring and turn neutral later through the monsoon season, the weather agency said.

This also means that monsoon 2021 is going to be a devolving La Niña to start with, it added.

“This trend of Pacific Ocean temperatures may not lead to an above-normal or excess rainfall, but chances of a disfigured monsoon are also ruled out so far,” it added.

Skymet Weather had not issued monsoon forecast last year. India Meteorological Department, the country’s official weather forecasting, usually issues its first outlook for the monsoon in April.

Udayavani is now on Telegram. Click here to join our channel and stay updated with the latest news.

Top News

UV Exclusive: Bajarangi 2 features song on Dhanvantari gods, says Dr V Nagendra Prasad

New book uncovers Indian mystery probed by Sherlock Holmes author

Mangaluru: Youth JD(S) activists gherao CP Yogeshwar, minister escapes from rear door

Congress collapsing across India due to dynasty politics, says Amit Shah

COVID-19 : Ker dismisses reports on excluding private hospitals from 2nd phase vaccination

Sreedharan’s entry a ‘gimmick’; BJP will remain marginal player in Kerala: Cong’s Tariq Anwar

Former Bengal CM Buddhadeb Bhattacharya not to attend Brigade rally due to ill health



Related Articles More

PSLV-C51 launches Brazil’s Amazonia-1 satellite

India Moves closer to a ‘2G-Mukt Bharat’ with the ‘New JioPhone 2021 offer’

Countdown begins for PSLV-C51/Amazonia-1 mission

ISRO lining up launch of India’s geo imaging satellite GISAT-1

Twitter intends to make its content moderation practices more transparent: Jack Dorsey

MUST WATCH

Chikmagalur: Locals apprehend dacoits after cinematic chase

I request BJP senior leaders not to trust HD Kumaraswamy and BJP must not form an alliance with the JDS: C P Yogeshwar

Problem! in Cowin App

Listen to the story by Dr. Gururaj Karjagi on the concept of ‘Joy of Giving’- Part-3

This full-time construction worker makes caps from areca leaves in his spare time

Latest Additions

No stopping Padikkal as Karnataka seal last-8 berth

PM Modi regrets not learning ”world”s oldest language” Tamil

UV Exclusive: Bajarangi 2 features song on Dhanvantari gods, says Dr V Nagendra Prasad

Surathkal: Waves carry away Shivamogga boy at beach

Kundapur: One killed in car-bike collision

Thanks for visiting Udayavani

You seem to have an Ad Blocker on.
To continue reading, please turn it off or whitelist Udayavani.